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National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Active tropical cyclones in the Atlantic, Caribbean, and the Gulf of MexicoNational Hurricane Center Report
Tropical Storm FAY Public Advisory Number 23A
Issued at 800 AM EDT THU AUG 21 2008
000 WTNT31 KNHC 211141 TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM FAY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 23A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062008 800 AM EDT THU AUG 21 2008 ...FAY BARELY MOVING... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FORT PIERCE FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER AT THE BORDER BETWEEN GEORGIA AND SOUTH CAROLINA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 800 AM EDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.7 WEST OR ABOUT 20 MILES... 30 KM...EAST OF DAYTONA BEACH FLORIDA. FAY HAS BARELY MOVED OVER THE LAST FEW HOURS. HOWEVER...A SLOW MOTION TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS FORECAST TO BEGIN LATER TODAY AND CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THIS TRACK...FAY IS FORECAST TO MOVE SLOWLY ACROSS THE NORTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA TODAY...AND BE VERY NEAR THE GULF COAST OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE BY EARLY SATURDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS STILL POSSIBLE WHILE THE CENTER OF FAY REMAINS OVER WATER THIS MORNING...BUT GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST AFTER FAY MOVES BACK OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES...240 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE JUST MEASURED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES. FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ACROSS THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE ALSO LIKELY OVER SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA DURING THE SAME PERIOD. ISOLATED STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF NEAR 30 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED IN FLORIDA. STORM TIDES OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER OF FAY. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA AND SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA. REPEATING THE 800 AM EDT POSITION...29.2 N...80.7 W. MOVEMENT... STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1100 AM EDT. $$ FORECASTER AVILA
Tropical Storm FAY Forecast/Advisory Number 23
Issued at 0900 UTC THU AUG 21 2008
000 WTNT21 KNHC 210846 TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062008 0900 UTC THU AUG 21 2008 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FORT PIERCE FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER AT THE BORDER BETWEEN GEORGIA AND SOUTH CAROLINA. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.1N 80.7W AT 21/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 60NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT.......130NE 100SE 40SW 100NW. 12 FT SEAS..100NE 120SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.1N 80.7W AT 21/0900Z AT 21/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.1N 80.7W FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 29.4N 81.6W...INLAND MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...130NE 100SE 0SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 29.6N 82.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...100NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 30.0N 83.9W...ALONG FL GULF COAST MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 30.3N 85.1W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 30.7N 87.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 31.0N 89.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 31.0N 89.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.1N 80.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/1500Z $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN
Tropical Storm FAY Forecast Discussion Number 23
Issued at 500 AM EDT THU AUG 21 2008
000 WTNT41 KNHC 210849 TCDAT1 TROPICAL STORM FAY DISCUSSION NUMBER 23 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062008 500 AM EDT THU AUG 21 2008 AIRCRAFT RECONNAISSANCE DATA SHOW THAT FAY IS NOT STRENGTHENING. THE HIGHEST FLIGHT-LEVEL WIND AT 850 MB FROM THE AIRCRAFT WAS 62 KT...CORRESPONDING TO SURFACE WINDS OF 50 KT...WITH PEAK ACTUAL SURFACE OBSERVATIONS OF 50 KT FROM A DROPSONDE AND 51 KT FROM THE SFMR. THE PRESSURE HAS BEEN HOLDING STEADY AROUND 993-994 MB. BASED ON THESE DATA...THE INITIAL INTENSITY ESTIMATE REMAINS 50 KT. AFTER DRIFTING NORTHWESTWARD EARLIER TONIGHT...FAY IS NEARLY STATIONARY AGAIN JUST A FEW MILES OFFSHORE. A MID-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF FAY...WHICH IS RESPONSIBLE FOR THE CYCLONE'S CURRENT STALL...IS FORECAST BY THE GLOBAL MODELS TO STRENGTHEN AND BUILD WESTWARD AS A MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH IN THE SOUTHERN PLAINS LIFTS OUT OVER THE NEXT TWO TO THREE DAYS. THIS PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO TURN FAY SLOWLY TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE BUILDING RIDGE. THERE HAS NOT BEEN A GREAT DEAL OF CHANGE IN THE MODEL GUIDANCE DURING THIS FORECAST CYCLE...ALTHOUGH THE GFS HAS SHIFTED SOUTHWARD AND NOW SHOWS A TRACK VERY CLOSE TO THE GULF COAST OF NORTHERN FLORIDA. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS IN BEST AGREEMENT WITH THE GFS AND UKMET GUIDANCE AND IS JUST A LITTLE BIT SOUTH OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY TRACK. THERE HAS BEEN LITTLE NET CHANGE IN THE RADAR PRESENTATION OVER THE LAST SEVERAL HOURS...AND THE SATELLITE APPEARANCE HAS ACTUALLY DEGRADED SLIGHTLY WITH SOME EROSION NOTED IN THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT. WHILE ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS STILL SUPPPORT SOME INTENSIFICATION...THE BROAD STRUCTURE OF THE CYCLONE'S CORE WOULD ARGUE AGAINST MUCH CHANGE IN STRENGTH PRIOR TO LANDFALL. ASSUMING THAT THE TRACK FORECAST IS CORRECT IN KEEPING FAY INLAND AFTER THAT...A GRADUAL WEAKENING WOULD BE EXPECTED. THE UPPER-LEVEL ENVIRONMENT IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR REDEVELOPMENT... HOWEVER...SHOULD FAY GO SOUTH OF THE FORECAST TRACK INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO. REGARDLESS OF ITS EXACT TRACK...FAY WILL BE MOVING RATHER SLOWLY DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...POSING A SIGNIFICANT HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOOD HAZARD TO A VERY LARGE AREA. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 21/0900Z 29.1N 80.7W 50 KT 12HR VT 21/1800Z 29.4N 81.6W 50 KT...INLAND 24HR VT 22/0600Z 29.6N 82.5W 40 KT...INLAND 36HR VT 22/1800Z 30.0N 83.9W 30 KT...ALONG FL GULF COAST 48HR VT 23/0600Z 30.3N 85.1W 30 KT...INLAND 72HR VT 24/0600Z 30.7N 87.5W 30 KT...INLAND 96HR VT 25/0600Z 31.0N 89.0W 25 KT...INLAND 120HR VT 26/0600Z 31.0N 89.0W 25 KT...INLAND REMNANT LOW $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN
Tropical Storm FAY Wind Speed Probabilities Number 23
Issued at 0900 UTC THU AUG 21 2008
000
FONT11 KNHC 210846
PWSAT1
TROPICAL STORM FAY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 23
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062008
0900 UTC THU AUG 21 2008
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
29.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/HR.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
I. MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE
CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES
AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT. X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS
THAN 1 PERCENT.
- - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - -
VALID TIME 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR 12 24 36 48 72 96 120
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
DISSIPATED X 3 15 20 31 43 53
TROP DEPRESSION 4 27 36 29 24 21 18
TROPICAL STORM 91 66 44 42 36 27 21
HURRICANE 5 4 6 9 9 9 9
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HUR CAT 1 5 3 4 7 7 6 7
HUR CAT 2 X X 1 1 1 2 2
HUR CAT 3 1 X X 1 1 X X
HUR CAT 4 X X X X X X X
HUR CAT 5 X X X X X X X
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 50KT 40KT 30KT 30KT 30KT 25KT 25KT
II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
COLUMBIA SC 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) 1( 6)
MYRTLE BEACH 34 1 X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3)
CHARLESTON SC 34 3 1( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) 1( 7) X( 7)
ATLANTA GA 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) 2( 7) 2( 9) X( 9)
AUGUSTA GA 34 2 2( 4) 1( 5) 2( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
SAVANNAH GA 34 8 4(12) 1(13) 2(15) 1(16) 1(17) X(17)
JACKSONVILLE 34 56 7(63) 2(65) 1(66) 1(67) X(67) X(67)
JACKSONVILLE 50 4 5( 9) X( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
JACKSONVILLE 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
DAYTONA BEACH 34 81 13(94) 1(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95)
DAYTONA BEACH 50 31 2(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) 1(34) X(34)
DAYTONA BEACH 64 2 X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
ORLANDO FL 34 48 3(51) 1(52) X(52) 1(53) X(53) 1(54)
ORLANDO FL 50 7 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
COCOA BEACH FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
COCOA BEACH FL 50 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
FT PIERCE FL 34 8 2(10) X(10) 1(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12)
W PALM BEACH 34 2 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) 1( 6)
MIAMI FL 34 1 X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 1( 4)
KEY WEST FL 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3)
MARCO ISLAND 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6)
FT MYERS FL 34 2 1( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8)
VENICE FL 34 3 3( 6) 1( 7) 3(10) 2(12) X(12) 1(13)
TAMPA FL 34 9 7(16) 4(20) 3(23) 1(24) 1(25) 1(26)
TAMPA FL 50 1 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) 1( 6)
CEDAR KEY FL 34 19 15(34) 7(41) 2(43) 2(45) 1(46) 1(47)
CEDAR KEY FL 50 1 6( 7) 4(11) 1(12) 1(13) X(13) 1(14)
CEDAR KEY FL 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
TALLAHASSEE FL 34 5 9(14) 14(28) 6(34) 4(38) 1(39) 1(40)
TALLAHASSEE FL 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) X( 7)
TALLAHASSEE FL 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
ST MARKS FL 34 6 11(17) 14(31) 5(36) 4(40) 1(41) 1(42)
ST MARKS FL 50 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 3( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10)
ST MARKS FL 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
APALACHICOLA 34 2 6( 8) 13(21) 9(30) 5(35) 1(36) 3(39)
APALACHICOLA 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 3(11) X(11) 1(12)
APALACHICOLA 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GFMX 290N 850W 34 2 4( 6) 11(17) 8(25) 4(29) 2(31) 3(34)
GFMX 290N 850W 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) 3(10) X(10) 1(11)
GFMX 290N 850W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
PANAMA CITY FL 34 1 5( 6) 11(17) 9(26) 6(32) 2(34) 3(37)
PANAMA CITY FL 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 4(11) 1(12) 1(13)
PANAMA CITY FL 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
COLUMBUS GA 34 1 3( 4) 2( 6) 6(12) 4(16) 2(18) 1(19)
MONTGOMERY AL 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 5( 9) 7(16) 2(18) 1(19)
PENSACOLA FL 34 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 8(14) 10(24) 4(28) 3(31)
PENSACOLA FL 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 5( 7) 2( 9) 1(10)
PENSACOLA FL 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
GFMX 290N 870W 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 7(12) 10(22) 3(25) 5(30)
GFMX 290N 870W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 2( 8) 2(10)
GFMX 290N 870W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
MOBILE AL 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 5( 7) 11(18) 4(22) 4(26)
MOBILE AL 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7)
MOBILE AL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
GULFPORT MS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 11(15) 4(19) 5(24)
GULFPORT MS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6)
GULFPORT MS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2)
BURAS LA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 9(11) 5(16) 5(21)
BURAS LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6)
BURAS LA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2)
GFMX 280N 890W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 6( 8) 5(13) 6(19)
GFMX 280N 890W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 3( 6)
GFMX 280N 890W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
JACKSON MS 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 4(11) 2(13)
NEW ORLEANS LA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 4(13) 5(18)
NEW ORLEANS LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4)
NEW ORLEANS LA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
GFMX 280N 910W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 5( 9) 6(15)
GFMX 280N 910W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4)
GFMX 280N 910W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
BATON ROUGE LA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 5(10) 3(13)
BATON ROUGE LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
NEW IBERIA LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) 4(13)
GFMX 280N 930W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 4( 9)
GFMX 280N 930W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
SHREVEPORT LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6)
PORT ARTHUR TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7)
GALVESTON TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5)
HOUSTON TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5)
FREEPORT TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5)
GFMX 280N 950W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5)
PORT O CONNOR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
GFMX 270N 960W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
GRAND BAHAMA 34 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4)
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
Tropical Storm FAY Graphics
Issued at 900Z
Hurricane Local Statement forTropical Storm FAY issued from Melbourne, FL
Issued at 713 AM EDT THU AUG 21 2008
Hurricane Local Statement forTropical Storm FAY issued from Charleston, SC
Issued at 607 AM EDT THU AUG 21 2008
Hurricane Local Statement forTropical Storm FAY issued from Jacksonville, FL
Issued at 522 AM EDT THU AUG 21 2008
Atlantic Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Graphic last updated Thu, 21 Aug 2008 11:44:39 GMT
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
000 ABNT20 KNHC 211141 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 AM EDT THU AUG 21 2008 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM FAY...CENTERED JUST OFF THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA ABOUT 20 MILES EAST OF DAYTONA BEACH. SHOWER ACTIVITY WITH AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 975 MILES EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS REMAINS DISORGANIZED. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...OF THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT AROUND 15 MPH. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER BLAKE